Five-Star Prospects1. Stephen Strasburg, RHP2. Derek Norris, CFour-Star Prospects3. Drew Storen, RHP4. Danny Espinosa, SSThree-Star Prospects5. Ian Desmond, SS6. Michael Burgess, OF7. Eury Perez, OF8. Jeff Kobernus, 2B9. Chris Marrero, 1B10. Juan Jaime, RHPTwo-Star Prospects11. Paul Demny, RHPFour More:12. Destin Hood, OF: This big outfielder remains high on upside, but raw with the bat.13. Justin Maxwell, OF: A toolsy outfielder, Maxwell has plenty of secondary skills, but he's 26, and he might never hit for average.14. Brad Meyers, RHP: He’s a command and control righty who is very good at what he does, but his ceiling ends at a back-end starter.15. J.R. Higley, OF: Higley certainly passes the scouting sniff test, but will he hit?
To quote Freddy Prinze, "Looking good!"
Or maybe not. Just for fun, here's Goldstein's 2008 top 11:
Five-Star Prospects1. Chris Marrero, 1B2. Ross Detwiler, LHPFour-Star Prospects3. Michael Burgess, OFThree-Star Prospects4. Josh Smoker, LHP5. Justin Maxwell, OF6. Jake McGeary, LHP7. Collin Balester, RHPTwo-Star Prospects8. Jordan Zimmerman, RHP9. Jake Smolinski, OF10. Colton Willems, RHP11. Adam Carr, RHPJust Missing: Esmailyn Gonzalez, SS; John Lannan, LHP; Shairon Martis, RHP
And here's the 2009 list, which will really turn your stomach:
Four-Star Prospects1. Jordan Zimmermann, RHP2. Michael Burgess, RF3. Ross Detwiler, LHPThree-Star Prospects4. Derek Norris, C5. Jack McGeary, LHP6. Chris Marrero, 1B7. Destin Hood, LF8. J.P. Ramirez, OF9. Esmailyn Gonzalez, SSTwo-Star Prospects10. Rogearvin Bernadina, CF11. Adrian Nieto, CJust Missed: Garrett Mock, RHP; Colton Willems, RHP; Terrell Young, RHP
Just two prospects appear on all three top 11 lists (Marrero and Burgess). In 2008, Goldstein rated the Nats as the 14th best organization in baseball. McGeary/Smoker/Detwiler have been mostly vaporware. Marrero/Maxwell/Burgess have consistently underperformed. Zimmermann graduated to Tommy John surgery. Most of the 2009 top 11 fell off the list, which makes sense as Goldstein rated the Nats' organization 29th last season. The 2009 Nats top 11 would have been bottom shit on most other teams, and they've been replaced by players either drafted in 2010 or, more interesting, players already in the system who didn't make the top 11 in previous years (Espinosa, Desmond, Perez).
What really stands out for me is how much the underperformance of those starting pitchers drafted in 2007 set the organization back. I used to complain that the Nats hadn't developed any position players, but I suppose my new complaint is going to be "Where are the pitchers?" (No, Mike, I'm never going to believe you no matter how many times you repeat the phrase "young arms" in reference to Martis/Chico/Mock/Stammen/Martin.)